Leah> How is this Covid thing different from us getting our Annual Flu shot?

Leah, I’ve been wondering that too. In Canada the flu shots are free; no need to go to a Doctor or a hospital. Your local pharmacy can give you a jab, and we are all encouraged to get one each year. This is Canada’s way of building up herd immunity quickly by technology.

However, when there is no vaccine (in this case for Covid virus), instead of making use of a proven technology for eradicating the virus – herd immunity using the excellent track record of healthy human bodies to spread the infection and create a vast pool of the herd that can no longer be carriers – the governments have instituted the novel idea of isolating every one, delaying the onset of herd Immunity, and as a by-product, giving the virus time to mutate! Either you believe in Herd Immunity, or you don’t. But you can’t believe in it via hypodermics and not believe in it by a five-million year proven method.

20200515

GP> The medical hot shots have singular focus and their advice comes from that and that

only... Would any of them have studied economics ?...

I am cynical not about medical experts as such, but about the

medical experts chosen by the media. If I were in the

business of spreading Gloom, Alarum, and Despondency, I’d

interview medical experts who mouth dire threats about a

virus, rather than the experts who sate calmly that while this

virus is more deadly than any in the past five years, it is still

and all a virus, and behaves, and will die out as every other

virus.

20200515

David> This whole thing has been so oddball …

David, I agree, and I am replying separately (and at length) to your comments.

20200429

Paul> If you don’t have internet, how are you sending out these emails and PDF files?

By trickery. Search the internet for “Poem Auden British Rail Night Mail”. Then look for a video about the transfer of the leather pouches, to and from express trains bopping along at 60mph between London and Edinburgh.

I write up the emails on my laptop in Word2003, print them to PDF files, which I drag to my smart phone, and then, just before going for a walk, I compose the set of emails, each with one or more PDF attachments (“leather pouches”), and use “Send” on my smart phone to place the email in the Outbox. As I walk past any place that has leaky WiFi, the phone grabs the WiFi signal and slings out the email.

I keep my podcasts up to date by the same thievery.

20200503

Rae> How did your predictions work out?

I am pleased with them. Before April 3rd, when I could see that politicians had dug themselves into a hole, I figured that economics (dollars) would put things in perspective, and this they have done.

backs to the wall, facing economic meltdown, those nations that “shut down business” by imprisoning their own citizens in “self-isolation” have found themselves forced to get people back to work.

The media continues to bleat about “the economic meltdown caused by the Covid virus”, rather than the truth (“ … caused by politicians”). I am already hearing premiers and prime ministers and, of course, The President of Fox News telling is “It could have been much worse”, but I bet they can’t prove that statement, either!

I wrote “These statements will be issued somewhere between one and three months from now. That is, on or after Sunday, May 03, 2020 and on or before Monday, August 03, 2020. I lean towards May rather than August.” And it was the last week of April when Australian news said that New South Wales schools would be open one day a week, starting may 11th. Not, I believe, to get the school kids educated, but to allow the parents to get back to work.

20200507

Geoff> Wow! I love reading your emails and attachments...this last one ... gives me great satisfaction that there is another human being who has similar convictions regarding the handling of “the virus”. I know there is a lot of sand on earth.. it is useful at present for a lot of folk to bury their collective heads in. I will reply later. I found this (edited) photo of you... 40 something years ago (Claremont I think). I bet you would be sought after by eligible females in Bonavista if you had that hair now.

Hi Geoff, and thanks for the photo. Do you have any more like that? I especially loved seeing the little tractor lawn-sprinkler. Ah! The good old days! Yes, Claremont, therefore the twelve months in 1973/74. There were then quite a few people who rightly said that I “should have been put in Claremont”. Rightly so. I don’t know about eligible females in Bonavista. I don’t yet know enough Bonavistese to be able to have a meaningful conversation with them, especially about Turing Machines.

20200426

Sandy> YAY - You are OKAY - well as OKAY as you normally are! LOL! I’m reading your pdf’s. Thank you for the email! I’ve been concerned - strike that - I’ve been worried! Now to see of the flower bulbs make it!

Hi Sandy. Yes, I’m OK. This morning (25th April) I listened to a podcast from Australia that told me that kids were going back to school one day a week. That was a little upsetting because I’d predicted May 3rd as the earliest date of any return to normalcy. Then the podcast continued “ …

On May 11th” and that cheered me up greatly.

Some of the daffodils, tulips, hyacinths and bluebells have poked through the soil, but only where I have shoveled the three feet of snow and ice off the beds and onto the driveway. The driveway is my heat engine, sucking in energy from the air and transferring it to the snow which melts and carries the heat energy to other piles of snow as it all leaks onto Canon Bayley Road; heh heh!

20200421

Fred> Is your prediction just a wild guess? Or do you have inside information?

Hi Fred. I never take on board Information. I take on data (which is most likely someone else’s product, there fore their information), I process the incoming data, and thus derive my own Information. We should be basing our decisions on our own information, that is, the product of thinking about what we see or hear or read.

I don’t make wild guesses, but I abhor the phrase “I have no idea”.. If we have no idea then we are just not thinking, because we can’t think, or because we are too lazy to think. I can’t be bothered with people who are too lazy to think.

So. I knew early on that this is a virus, that all viruses “play themselves out” in a matter of weeks or months. I knew too that every human on this planet is the apex of a successful war, so far, against viruses. Not one of our ancestors died in infancy! All our ancestors had the genetic makeup to fight off viruses.

So the problem cannot be the virus, but, in Covid’s case, the shutdown decreed by politicians. That means they the politicians would, sooner or later, have to dif themselves out of the pit that they had dug for themselves (or in Ontario’s case, Doug Ford themselves). Could their economic shutdown last a year? Not at all. Before the year was out we would have food riots, vigilantes, theft and so on. I supposed that the politicians could hold the population in check for three months, tops. I further supposed that it would take the pollies a month to work out how to cover up that they had made a mistake and ruined their nation’s economy by enjoying the microphones.

So I wrote “these statements will be issued somewhere between one and three months from now. That is, on or after Sunday, May 03, 2020 and on or before Monday, August 03, 2020. I lean towards May rather than August.”.

20200423

Promod> German Measles?

Hi Promod; yes. I am not surprised to hear that that puzzles you (or anybody). After writing that essay I began asking everyone I met about German Measles. Almost nobody in Bonavista has heard of German Measles. I have not yet spoken with my Doctor or any health professional. That no one here has heard of German Measles suggests to me that it has been pretty well eradicated in the western world.

I not in an ABC AM podcast from the last week that schools in new South Wales will be taking students back one day a week starting May 11th (eight days after my predicted earliest date), and that sounds to me like a “German Measles party”. It is in Australia (and the Australians are very knowledgeable about quarantine, diseases spreading and infections), so that doesn’t surprise me either.

20200425

Andrea> https://www.businessinsider.com/how-japan-tackled-coronavirus-without-a-lockdown-2020-5

20200604

Stuart> My reason for quoting the Spanish Influenza epidemic was to put numbers into perspective. “it infected 500 million people – about a third of the world's population at the time” but note the use of the word “infected” as distinct from “cases”. “The death toll is estimated to have been anywhere from 17 million to 50 million, and possibly as high as 100 million” compared to Covid’s estimated 380,000 to date.

20200604